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| Look out for Boss Hog |
Just when I was starting to wonder about Ryan Mallett's durability after getting knocked out of the previous two games, he explodes for
a career-high 409 yards against Vanderbilt last week.
I questioned the
Razorbacks' ability to cover a 3-TD spread and thought they'd win a somewhat closer game against the Commodores. The final score?
Arkansas 49, Vanderbilt 14. Way to go, Hogs!
The game was not without negative consequences for the rest of the season, though. Top WR
Greg Childs was
sidelined for the rest of the season with a patellar tendon injury that will require surgery and months of rehab. That's a tough loss for the Razorbacks, who have looked to the 6'3" Childs as their best deep threat all season. He has shown NFL skills in his ability to go up and snare balls over the heads over shorter D-backs. His loss will be felt.
Unfortunately, it doesn't get any easier for the Razorbacks in the coming weeks. Three of the next four games are against top-20 teams: the Hogs face South Carolina on the road today; they travel to Starkville to take on a resurgent Mississippi State on Nov. 20th; and they face LSU in Little Rock on Nov. 27th in the annual
Battle of the Boot. Seeing Mallett back on his game and relatively healthy for the Vandy game was encouraging, because they are going to need every available weapon for the schedule ahead.
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| South Carolina Gamecocks |
This week's test is against
South Carolina - the only team to beat Alabama so far this year. I think there are a few interesting points to note with regard to the Arkansas receiving corps for the game this Saturday against South Carolina.
First, a question: How will
Joe Adams play, assuming he is fully recovered from the ankle injury he sustained against Ole Miss? Adams is the Razorbacks' most explosive receiver after the catch. His record-setting 97-yard punt return-TD against the Rebels was a thing of beauty. If Adams can play at full speed, it could certainly help make up for the loss of Greg Childs in the lineup.
Second, I have a bit of a prediction about another way the Hogs will try to cope with the loss of Childs. Look for them to compensate for his deep-threat ability by using 6'3" WR
Cobi Hamilton more extensively. Hamilton is sometimes cited as a player who doesn't take football as seriously as he should, indicating that the sophomore maybe has some maturing yet to do. But it has also been suggested that he has the best natural skills of any receiver on the Arkansas roster. With the Hogs needing a tall WR with good hands running deep routes in the absence of Childs, this could be a potential breakout game for Hamilton.
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| The Ol' Ball Coach |
As far as the overall prediction for the game goes, the weak South Carolina pass defense definitely bodes well for the Hogs. Even with some injuries,
Ryan Mallett will have plenty of people he can target. We need
Knile Davis to continue to help us out in the run game - a challenge against an SC defense that actually
is quite good at stopping the run.
On the other side, I think we've got to remember exactly what the Gamecocks are playing for.
Coach Steve Spurrier is in his sixth year as the HC at South Carolina. He's brought the program up to a level it isn't used to seeing, but he's never managed to win the SEC East. With East rivals Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee all having down years, this is the best chance the Ol' Ball Coach will probably have to make it to Atlanta for the SEC Championship Game. Sitting at 4-2 in the conference (and 6-2 overall), the Gamecocks control their own destiny. Believe that they're gonna be ready to play by kickoff tonight.
In terms of personnel, I think the Razorbacks are the better team. But the best team doesn't always come away with the victory. There are always other factors at play: Mindset and momentum, location (home/road), preparation, and game plan. The last time the Hogs went on the road, they ran into the Cam Newton Express at Auburn and saw their defense exposed. The following week's victory against Ole Miss masked another poor outing by DC Willy Robinson's defensive unit. South Carolina's QB
Stephen Garcia doesn't possess the combination of run/pass ability that Cam Newton and Jeremiah Masoli do, of course. But then again, Garcia is complimented by an outstanding RB in
Marcus Lattimore and a top-notch WR in
Alshon Jeffery. Plus, they've got the Ol' Ball Coach himself putting together the game plan for how to beat the Hogs and take the next step to winning the SEC East. On the Hogs' side, they've shown they have the ability to beat the Gamecocks regularly: They own an
11-7 all-time record against South Carolina, and they've won 3 of the last 4 matchups.
I'd like to see Arkansas get a big win over a top-20 opponent on the road, but I'm not entirely convinced it's going to happen this weekend. I've gone back-and-forth with my thoughts on this all week long. But in the end, I'm a diehard Arkansas fan and I want to believe that this is the moment for
Bobby Petrino and Co. to get a signature SEC road win this season. (As a bonus link, check out
this great article from the USA Today on Coach Petrino's tenure at Arkansas.)
So with all that said, here's the prediction:
Last week: Arkansas 49, Vanderbilt 21 (My pick: Arkansas 35, Vanderbilt 21)
Arkansas' Overall Record: 6-2 (Me: 7-1)
Saturday's Game: Arkansas Razorbacks Vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
Location: Williams-Brice Stadium - Columbia, SC
Prediction: Arkansas 35, South Carolina 24
Reason:
I hope this doesn't turn out to be a sentimental pick. The length of this post should point to how difficult a game this one is to call. You've got two great coaches, two teams with a lot to play for, and a bunch of great players in the skill positions on both sides. I think a lot of the outcome is going to hinge on how the South Carolina defense fares against Arkansas' passing attack, and how the Hog defense can stand up to the SC running game. To me that makes it something of a toss-up, but I'm going to go with the Hogs. A win here puts Arkansas in prime position for a January 1st bowl game.
Labels: 2010 Football Season, Arkansas Razorbacks